Clutch Packs
- Packs measured
- 25
- Real pulls
- 158,556
- Observed return
- 1.01×
- Pulls under 1×
- 74%
Records every opening on-chain and publishes the results. The average is near break-even; three quarters of individual pulls are not.
Every card ripping site, one honest number.
Online pack ripping sites publish odds. They rarely publish the number that decides whether a pack is worth buying: how much of your money comes back, on average, per pack. We calculate it from each platform's own disclosures.
Clutch Packs publishes 158,556 real pack openings verified on-chain, and they average 1.01 times the pack price — yet 74% of those pulls came back worth less than the pack cost. Courtyard posts an expected value of 95% of the price on 79 of its 92 packs. Packz's published odds work out to about 100%. Arena Club and Crown Rips publish no values at all.
Odds collected 2026-09-21. These are the platforms' own figures and valuations, not independently verified sale prices.
158,556Real pulls analysed
141Packs measured across 5 platforms
95%Courtyard's most common posted return
74%Of real pulls worth less than the pack
Transparency ranking
We rank on transparency first, because it is the one thing a buyer can verify before spending anything. A platform that publishes observed results is making the strongest claim available. One that publishes an expected value is making a checkable commitment. One that publishes only ranges, or per-card hit rates with no values, is not.
| # | Platform | What it discloses | Return | Buyback |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clutch Packs | Observed pull results, verified on-chain, plus a full 100-card pool per pack | 1.01× observed over 158,556 pulls | Not disclosed |
| 2 | Courtyard | Exact expected value and dollar-range odds on every pack | 95–96% claimed | 90% advertised |
| 3 | Packz | Dollar-range odds, no expected value | ~100% on $25+ packs, our estimate | 90%, site credit only |
| 4 | Arena Club | Per-card hit rates, no card values, no expected value | Not calculable | 90% of card value, withdrawable |
| 5 | Fanatics Instant Rips | Checklist of contents, no pull rates; third-party card valuations | Not calculable | 84.6% effective, credit only |
| 6 | Crown Rips | Minimum and maximum pull value only, no rates | Not calculable | 100% claimed, unverified |
| 7 | Tilt Rips | Top prizes only, no rates and no floor | Not calculable | 90%, withdrawable in cash or crypto |
Clutch Packs leads because observed results cannot be quietly adjusted by revaluing inventory. It is not yet scored, because it discloses no buyback terms and buyback is a quarter of the score.
Courtyard
- Packs measured
- 92
- Price range
- $15–$10,000
- Posted return
- 95–96%
- Chance of ≥ price
- 12%–30%
Publishes an exact expected value on every pack. Packs differ in shape, not in average return.
Packz
- Packs measured
- 14
- Price range
- $5–$1,000
- Estimated return
- ~100% ($25+)
- Chance of ≥ price
- 30.4%
Every pack uses one odds template. The headline return looks strong, but it rests on Packz's own valuations and the buyback pays in credit you cannot withdraw.
Arena Club
- Price range
- $25–$5,000
- Odds format
- Per card
- Posted EV
- None
- Buyback payout
- Withdrawable
The only platform here whose buyback reaches a real bank account without further conditions, and the only one whose expected value you cannot work out from its own page.
Work out any pack yourself
The pack EV calculator takes the odds any site publishes and returns the average card value, the expected loss per pack, and the chance of beating the pack price. It is free, needs no account, and runs entirely in your browser.
Start here
- The real odds of pulling the Cooper Flagg card — 1 in 5,000, and what that costs.
- Bonus offers ranked by what they're worth — only one is plausibly positive-EV.
- What 158,556 real pulls show — the only observed return data in the category.
- Courtyard vs Packz — the two platforms that publish enough to compare directly.
- How we rate platforms — what goes into a score and what does not.
- Is card ripping gambling? — where the law currently stands.
- Open data — every odds table we have collected, as CSV.